Preseason Rankings
Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#175
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace78.1#26
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#132
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#239
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.0% 9.0% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.4 14.3
.500 or above 61.4% 66.4% 38.6%
.500 or above in Conference 60.6% 63.6% 46.7%
Conference Champion 9.6% 10.7% 4.6%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 4.5% 9.5%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round7.8% 8.9% 3.3%
Second Round1.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NC Central (Home) - 81.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 44 - 7
Quad 48 - 212 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 07, 2020 293   NC Central W 80-70 82%    
  Dec 15, 2020 148   @ Wofford L 74-79 34%    
  Dec 17, 2020 346   Delaware St. W 99-78 97%    
  Jan 01, 2021 106   Georgia St. L 84-86 42%    
  Jan 02, 2021 106   Georgia St. L 84-86 42%    
  Jan 08, 2021 187   South Alabama W 78-74 63%    
  Jan 09, 2021 187   South Alabama W 78-74 63%    
  Jan 15, 2021 106   @ Georgia St. L 81-89 25%    
  Jan 16, 2021 106   @ Georgia St. L 81-89 25%    
  Jan 22, 2021 281   Troy W 84-75 77%    
  Jan 23, 2021 281   Troy W 84-75 77%    
  Jan 29, 2021 203   @ Georgia Southern L 82-83 46%    
  Jan 30, 2021 203   @ Georgia Southern L 82-83 46%    
  Feb 05, 2021 187   @ South Alabama L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 06, 2021 187   @ South Alabama L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 11, 2021 194   @ Appalachian St. L 76-78 45%    
  Feb 13, 2021 194   Appalachian St. W 79-75 65%    
  Feb 19, 2021 203   Georgia Southern W 85-80 66%    
  Feb 20, 2021 203   Georgia Southern W 85-80 65%    
  Feb 26, 2021 281   @ Troy W 81-78 60%    
  Feb 27, 2021 281   @ Troy W 81-78 59%    
Projected Record 12 - 9 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.0 2.7 2.0 1.1 0.3 9.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.4 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 9.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.0 2.4 0.7 0.1 9.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.0 2.4 0.6 0.1 10.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.7 2.7 0.5 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.6 2.6 0.4 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.6 2.6 0.5 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.9 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.6 2.1 0.5 0.0 6.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.1 12th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.2 3.8 5.5 7.1 8.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 9.9 8.9 7.6 5.5 3.8 2.3 1.2 0.3 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
17-1 96.9% 1.1    1.0 0.1
16-2 86.8% 2.0    1.5 0.5 0.0
15-3 70.0% 2.7    1.7 0.8 0.2
14-4 37.0% 2.0    1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 16.4% 1.3    0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.6% 9.6 5.8 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 100.0% 99.2% 0.8% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 1.2% 94.8% 92.3% 2.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 31.5%
16-2 2.3% 79.6% 77.0% 2.6% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.5 11.3%
15-3 3.8% 59.1% 58.7% 0.4% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.1 1.6 0.9%
14-4 5.5% 27.9% 27.9% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 4.0 0.0%
13-5 7.6% 11.2% 11.2% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 6.8
12-6 8.9% 1.2% 1.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.8
11-7 9.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.8
10-8 10.6% 10.6
9-9 10.6% 10.6
8-10 10.6% 10.6
7-11 8.6% 8.6
6-12 7.1% 7.1
5-13 5.5% 5.5
4-14 3.8% 3.8
3-15 2.2% 2.2
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.0% 7.8% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.3 2.5 1.4 0.4 92.0 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 7.5 5.2 0.7 18.7 26.9 12.7 0.7 7.5 7.5 6.0 13.4 0.7